Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2369.828888 2573.533691 2780.726222 3006.935644 3246.648399 3492.799129 3764.360014
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2051.749499 2353.832417 2673.351155 3035.313937 3432.776818 3854.755210 4335.437120
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1830.832383 2188.964236 2578.950241 3032.762698 3543.872442 4099.291565 4746.015082
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1699.281103 2102.596694 2552.424585 3087.365861 3702.127188 4382.502339 5188.298475
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1548.972289 1979.394238 2470.277929 3065.799420 3762.802055 4546.909614 5489.627039
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1471.032131 1932.678882 2469.296320 3131.337744 3918.085935 4815.164044 5907.028392
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1379.456120 1862.025329 2433.394681 3149.736457 4013.370421 5010.638421 6238.384985
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1291.013982 1788.795629 2388.698848 3152.387496 4085.665215 5176.120555 6532.842774
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1165.579773 1661.594618 2270.908373 3059.335916 4036.757027 5192.981616 6647.429887
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1142.052720 1662.435188 2310.667576 3159.402525 4222.446456 5491.044968 7099.284642
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1105.092950 1643.115319 2322.830419 3223.349774 4362.817881 5734.453317 7486.616274
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1041.071880 1584.344240 2281.314958 3216.544611 4412.948176 5866.476758 7738.301780
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 967.532024 1510.123369 2217.864951 3180.591237 4426.547599 5955.076289 7940.202090
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 924.878634 1476.068207 2205.547362 3209.658060 4522.223439 6145.919715 8269.862170
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 873.551414 1427.050271 2170.746889 3207.004459 4575.522801 6282.829310 8532.463445
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 847.710536 1412.657701 2181.533248 3263.934361 4705.660213 6516.989077 8918.096899
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 795.844064 1357.980066 2134.721768 3241.450166 4730.330628 6616.203480 9133.539500
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 778.295386 1352.554021 2155.353984 3309.772416 4874.575137 6868.824782 9544.732193
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 745.776371 1323.118792 2140.883784 3328.949987 4952.907299 7036.633745 9848.675484
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 710.114554 1287.117695 2115.514562 3331.713155 5008.325164 7174.409620 10114.504734
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 646.587529 1205.011829 2020.824150 3234.711290 4926.301840 7130.722655 10144.608394
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 645.698706 1220.865559 2068.735251 3339.024776 5118.981801 7448.757172 10645.707356
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 634.121745 1219.041732 2090.215085 3405.668015 5260.435509 7700.182847 11061.860278